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It's the Economy, Stupid! (and why the NDP should stop defending its 1990s economic record) 10 Jun 2013 | 02:53 pm

Much has been written about the gap between the last BC election polls and the actual results. But that was only half of the stunning BC Liberal comeback. The remainder happened in plain view during t...

2013 BC Election and the Pollsters 18 May 2013 | 04:08 pm

The dust is slowly settling after the surprising results of the 40th BC general election. The geographical divide between BC's different regions was very stark: Island, Coast and Northwest: 15 NDP, 2...

Happy New Year! 1 Jan 2013 | 04:38 pm

Happy 2013! Ironic tidbit: the PQ fulfilled its promise to raise taxes on rich Quebecers only partially so that the top tax rate would remain below 50%. However, with the expiration of the Bush tax c...

Rudimentary Guide to Election Night 7 Nov 2012 | 04:05 am

Sadly, work is getting in the way, and I won't be able to post as extensive a guide as I hoped before polls close. The basic thing to remember is that states are typically called immediately only when...

2012 US Senate Elections 6 Nov 2012 | 11:24 pm

For posts on the Presidential election, click here (state by state) and here (popular vote). Note: Maine is safe for independent Angus King; it is coloured in light blue since he is likely to caucus ...

2012 US Presidential Election: State by State 6 Nov 2012 | 10:37 pm

Click here for a summary of national polls. Dark blue: Obama by 9 or more Minnesota: Obama by 7 Oregon: Obama by 6 Michigan: Obama by 6 Pennsylvania: Obama by 5 Nevada: Obama by 4 Wisconsin: Obama by...

2012 US Election: Summary of National Polls 6 Nov 2012 | 10:11 pm

A small number of pollsters are expected to release their last polls on Election Day. This post may therefore be updated. Most recent poll of 28 pollsters with national likely voter polls since Octob...

Election Day 2012 in America 6 Nov 2012 | 09:41 am

Detailed posts coming up overnight or in the morning. But since the polls will be closing in about 20 minutes in Dixville Notch and Hart's Location, NH (these hamlets vote at midnight and are allowed ...

Five Days to 2012 US Election 2 Nov 2012 | 08:18 am

The state of the race has moved very little from three weeks ago - so little that a few times, I thought about writing an update, but gave up since there was basically nothing to add. In the past few...

US Election: All Eyes on Ohio and Virginia 14 Oct 2012 | 07:31 am

Three weeks ago, I gave a list of 10 states totaling 125 electoral votes that will likely determine the outcome of the 2012 U.S. presidential election - both candidates need a majority of those 125 vo...

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