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Status report on the US economy: where we are, where we’re going 27 Aug 2013 | 12:30 pm
Summary: After a near-recessionary 4th quarter (and the start of the extraordinary QE3), the US economy slowly accelerated during the first two quarters of 2013. Much depends on that growth continuin...
Possible political effects of the pause in global warming 26 Aug 2013 | 05:00 pm
Summary: Global warming has paused since roughly 1998 (see links in section 10). Part one looked at climate scientists’ estimates of when the pause in global warming will end, with a range from ending...
One of the most important questions we face: how long will the pause in global warming continue? 25 Aug 2013 | 12:41 pm
Summary: Today we’ll examine climate scientists forecasts for the duration of the current pause in global warming (spoiler: ending now or a or so from now). The duration of the pause in global warmin...
Our wars: using the military to do Social Work with Guns 24 Aug 2013 | 05:01 am
Summary: A wonder of the age is our continued confidence on people whose decisions proved wrong in the crucible of war, while those whose advice proved correct remain on the sidelines. It’s easy to di...
Scoring the game so far: NSA is winning, we’re losing 23 Aug 2013 | 05:01 am
Summary: Eleven weeks have passed since the first revelations by Snowden about the NSA’s surveillance programs. Let’s total up the results. Spoiler for the post: the NSA is winning, we’re losing. Bu...
Preparing for the future: should we be precautionary or proactionary? 22 Aug 2013 | 05:01 am
Summary: We face so many shockwaves — potentially high-impact events, usually estimated at low probability over years or decades (global warming being the exception). How do we assess the danger and d...
“You’ve had your debate. There’s no need to write any more.” 21 Aug 2013 | 10:38 am
Summary: We have moved to the steep downward part of the “S”-shaped slippery slope. Sharks bump their prey repeatedly, testing for a reaction. Once they confirm weakness, the attack begins. Similarly ...
Two proposals for dealing with the robot revolution (the next wave of automation) 20 Aug 2013 | 05:01 am
Summary: Slowly people see the robot revolution coming, when automation does to jobs in services what it did to farming and manufacturing. We’re in the first phase, delusional confidence about the eff...
Our deeds in Egypt show the darkness & folly of our foreign policy 19 Aug 2013 | 05:01 am
Summary: Yet again America finds it necessary to overthrow another elected government, earning the hatred of its people and the scorn of others disgusted by our hypocrisy. As usual, the neocons in the...
The Elusive Absolute Surface Air Temperature (SAT) 18 Aug 2013 | 06:00 am
Summary: The two-centuries long warming of the Earth’s surface (~1.4° Fahrenheit) since 1880) might become one of the most important trends of the 21st century. But, like so many aspects of science, i...
